NASA Johnson Space Center
Oral History Project
Edited Oral History Transcript
John B.
Charles
Interviewed by Sandra Johnson
Houston, TX – 7 August 2015
Johnson: Today is August 7th, 2015. This oral history session is being
conducted with John Charles in Houston, Texas, as part of the Johnson
Space Center Oral History Project. Interviewer is Sandra Johnson.
This is the third interview with Dr. Charles.
You mentioned in our last interview that simultaneously with the STS-107
mission preparation you were also the NASA life sciences liaison to
the Mars Exploration Program, which required understanding of the
design reference mission and its requirements for sending astronauts
to Mars. Was that part of that early Bioastronautics Critical Path
Roadmap? Or how did that fit into that?
Charles:
Yes, it was. It was part of it. It was all linked together, and it
was linked together in large part because I was the one doing it.
I kept getting these assignments. I always said that my mail code
and my job description never lined up. I was always either one mail
code behind or one mail code ahead of what I was doing at the moment.
That was the mid to late ’90s. I had established myself, not
as the cardiovascular head anymore, but as the go-to guy for these
off-the-wall projects.
The STS-95 NASA chief scientist, I was the guy for that, and then
because of that, I became the [STS-]107 chief scientist, and because
I was available and also interested, I became the liaison to the Mars
planning organization, Doug [Douglas R.] Cooke’s group here
at JSC, Bret [G.] Drake and [B.] Kent Joosten and John [F.] Connolly
are names in that group.
Also because the requirement came up to identify the risks to the
astronauts on long duration spaceflights beyond low-Earth orbit, I
became one of the members of that. I’m never the first of anything,
but I’m the cleanup hitter. Britt Walters led the risk planning
activity for the first few weeks or months, and then he went off to
do something else, and I was available and was asked to help do that.
It was me and Lauren Leveton and Frank [M.] Sulzman from Headquarters
on Joan Vernikos’ staff.
The three of us, the three musketeers, were the ones that were trying
to decide how to approach the risk assessment problem of bioastronautics.
The perception internally and externally up until that point had been
that bioastronautics and space and life sciences in general was an
effort to see what was cool and groovy and fun to do in space from
a biological perspective, but not really relevant to solving risks,
solving problems of astronauts in spaceflight, either on [Space] Shuttle
flights or on longer [International Space] Station flights or exploration
class missions.
Our assignment was to understand what risks were really out there
to be addressed and how close our program was to addressing those
risks, and to have a tally. With a great deal of effort, we compiled
a set of 55 risks to astronauts. That was after a great number of
internal and even external discussions about what we should be focusing
on. We decided that our job was to understand what I always called
the worst case, what more politically correctly might be called the
most challenging situation, which would be the piloted mission to
Mars, including a landing.
My insights from the exploration community were that they were planning
and working on a specific design reference mission. It’s up
to iteration 5 I think now. That was very simply the 6 months to Mars,
18 months on Mars, and 6 months back. So, it’s a 30-month mission.
If we focused our bioastronautics research efforts on that mission
scenario, we would identify, just going through the mission, all of
the risks we were likely to encounter in the most challenging case.
That became our scenario. Then the effort was to go back to our subject
matter experts at that time, and that was still before the creation
of the Human Research Program [HRP]. Bioastronautics was still being
managed out of NASA Headquarters [Washington, DC] with obviously its
largest contingent here at JSC.
The subject matter experts were for the most part here and it was
a straightforward but not simple matter to essentially debrief them
or interrogate them as to what the risks were. Any time somebody thought
of a risk we wrote it down. There was very little filtering. It was
really a collecting process. That’s how we came up with 55,
and it might even have been more originally. I’m forgetting
the actual progression, but 55 sticks in my head.
After we had the list compiled then we tried looking for mixes and
matches in between them, so if two different subject matter experts
in two different disciplines identified something that sounded the
same, then we would say, “That’s really just one risk,
and it satisfies two potential customers.”
We did spend a lot of time doing that in the late ’90s up through
2004. It had reached a steady state by the early 2000s. Like you said,
that was in parallel with the 107 planning.
Frank Sulzman, Lauren Leveton, and I were the honchos for that and
were briefing that and were—I guess the phrase is socializing
that—telling people what we found and what they told us and
what we heard them say, and these are the sets of risks. It reached
a bit of a steady state. Then [NASA Administrator] Mike [Michael D.]
Griffin came along and did the housecleaning effort at Headquarters,
the ESAS [Exploration Systems Architecture Study, 2005] process early
in the Mike Griffin era, after Columbia [STS-107 accident, February
1, 2003] and after Sean O’Keefe left. He was really focused
on the “next thing.” He was not a big fan of the Space
Shuttle or the Space Station, but he was willing to tolerate them
because they were already in work.
He was really focused on exploration class missions. As far as I can
tell from my place in the hole in the ground down here at JSC, he
scrubbed the Headquarters staff pretty successfully to get rid of
a lot of so-called extraneous personnel and expertise. He was responsible
for the Human Research Program being created and for it being headquartered
down here at JSC. It’s still a NASA-wide function but it’s
embedded in what was the Space and Life Sciences Directorate, now
the Human Health and Performance Directorate [HHPD], here, just because
the same people would have been involved in both organizations. I
get my paycheck from Jeff [Jeffrey R.] Davis, Director of HHPD, and
I get my marching orders from my Program Manager, who gets them from
[William H.] Gerstenmaier, who is now the head of Spaceflight [Human
Exploration and Operations Mission Directorate].
At that time the effort really did focus on missions more. It became
a more serious effort because Mr. Griffin essentially caused the Fundamental
Space Biology Program to be eliminated, almost completely zeroed out,
the Microgravity Sciences Program almost completely zeroed out. The
story I hear is that he was on the way to do that to the Human Life
Sciences, being advised by two of his astronaut colleagues that they
really didn’t see any value to this human life sciences stuff,
because we got the Space Shuttle figured out and you’re not
going to need the Mars thing for 30 years, so surely you can go buy
it when you need it. He was on his way to signing off, I imagine,
on the disbandment of the Human Life Sciences Program. I have been
told, I hope it’s correct, that Jeff Davis was briefing him
at one point and said, “You can’t turn that back on. In
30 years if you want that it will not be there. NASA is the only customer
for human research leading to people going to Mars. Nobody else is
doing that. You can’t go find that somewhere else. We can’t
pull a book off the shelf and read it, because that book is not being
written yet.”
Griffin apparently, to his credit, said, “Oh. I didn’t
realize. That’s not what I was hearing from my astronaut advisers.
Thank you. We’ll only give you a 50 percent cut instead of a
100 percent cut.” The Human Research Program was then put in
place. The Headquarters function became embedded at JSC in the life
sciences organization. Because of the decreased resources and the
increased scrutiny and the increased focus, we became even more diligent
than before in scrubbing our list of risks, and it is now down to
I think 33 risks, about 20 something of which are Human Research Program
research-related risks, that is risks that are amenable to research.
Back in the 55-risk days we also included things like failure to provide
adequate life support system, which is not really a risk, because
if you don’t have a life support system in your rocket ship
you don’t push the button that says “launch rocket.”
It’s obviously something missing. That’s a programmatic
risk but it’s not a human risk, and there’s a difference
there. The programmatic risk, how much is it going to cost to fix
this deficit, versus the human risk, what’s going to happen
to the astronaut halfway to Mars when they suddenly realize they forgot
their life support system, that’s the kind of risk we dealt
with.
Also going stream of consciousness here, I’m reminded that our
pals the engineers, of whom Rick [Richard W.] Nygren was our in-house
engineer expert—have you interviewed Rick Nygren?
Johnson:
We have.
Charles:
He is one of my best buddies, one of my best friends, and he has got
such a diverse background. It was a real godsend to have him as part
of our HRP initial staff.
He kept saying, “If you life sciences guys talk about risks,
you’re talking about these 1 percent chance risks and 0.1 percent
as being serious. Every time the Shuttle launches with the turbopumps
running, they’ve got a greater than 1 percent chance of the
thing shredding itself and killing everybody and destroying the launch
pad. Your risks really don’t look like much to those engineers
who are worried about life-and-death issues.”
That led us to the discussion: should we just close up shop because
our risks are so trivial? Or should we assume the astronaut are going
to survive the launch, and then our risks become important? Because
darn it, they survived almost all the launches, we really can’t
say that we’re irrelevant, because after the main engines shut
down and the turbopumps cool down, then we’re the big risk.
For the first eight minutes he’s right, but for the next three
years, it’s our problem, not theirs.
We thought that was a good justification. We were pretty proud of
ourselves when we came up with that justification, and we persisted.
There are still some folks that toss that argument at us, and we obviously
have a well rehearsed answer now.
Johnson:
It makes sense because they have to survive after that eight minutes.
Charles:
Should we just say, “Goodbye, good luck, you’re on your
own, let us know if your bones dissolve”? That was a big picture
of what was going on. I think I’ve exhausted that train of thought
for the moment.
Johnson:
You mentioned that there were the 55 and then you pared it down to
30 plus. Once they were identified by those subject matter experts,
were they categorized and then prioritized? How did that happen? What
was that process?
Charles:
You’ve said the magic word. Every manager loves to prioritize.
They all have different ideas about what a priority really ought to
be and how it really ought to be done. Yes, they were categorized.
I’m good at categorizing things. I look for mixes and matches;
I look for likes and not likes. It was pretty obvious. The bone guys
were telling us the bone risks and the muscle guys were telling us
the muscle risks. It came self-categorized, but there were some overlaps
like bone and muscle overlap, and the cardiovascular system is in
there too, and the neurosensory people, the sensorimotor people overlap
with muscles. There’s some of that.
Integration became one of our major efforts in those early days, because
we were so terribly desperately stovepiped. The bone people were only
interested in bone problems. Even the muscle people didn’t worry
about bone problems. They worried about muscle problems, even though
bones don’t exist without muscles and vice versa. Being a cardiovascular
guy, I can say without fear of contradiction that we were the same
way in the cardiovascular area, because it’s cardio and vascular,
and the heart people don’t care about the plumbing, and the
vascular people say, “The heart is just a pump, don’t
worry about it, it’s always there, it pressurizes our cool blood
vessels.”
I get that. But, having the perspective that I had acquired at that
time and I have continued to acquire, I’m also one of the people
that argues for integration and for multidisciplinary approaches to
things. That is such an obvious direction to go in a program like
ours when we’re worried about reducing the risks to humans in
spaceflight, and it has taken so much effort to break down the stovepipes
amongst our own subject matter experts.
I tried futilely, that is with futility, early on at one of our annual
life sciences meetings to gather all the subject matter experts together
and to put all the risks up and say, “I’d just like all
of us to take off our specialty hats and look at this risk list and
decide collectively which ones are the biggest risks and which ones
are not the biggest risks.”
I could not have been more naive, because that is an ideal way to
set people against each other. If you say that your risk is more important
than my risk, that means you get more funding and have job security,
and you’re hanging me out to dry. Let’s collude. I’ll
say yours is important and you’ll say mine is important.
At the end of the exercise, which only lasted 45 minutes before it
dissolved completely, every risk was at the top right-hand corner
of the five-by-five risk matrix. They were all fatally impossibly
difficult to do. Clearly I learned a lesson quickly that I couldn’t
rely on our subject matter experts to give a dispassionate answer
to the question, because we didn’t hire them to be dispassionate,
but we hired them to be specialists. They are specialists, and they
insist on being specialists. It’s very hard to break that mindset
if you go out and train scientists to be specialists in an area academically
and then you bring them in and say, “You’re a specialist
in this area, but now focus on that area.” Then you say, “Oh,
by the way, what I just told you, don’t focus on that area,
give me a broader perspective.” It’s a recipe for schizophrenia,
and I try not to be schizophrenic.
We’ve spent a lot of time at the management level trying to
do the mixing and matching and trying to decide what the categories
were and what the priorities were, and we’re still struggling
with that today. Bill [William H.] Paloski, who is our new Program
Manager—for the last two years—I guess he’s not
new anymore, but he’s the Program Manager for the Human Research
Program—was at NASA for a while, he left for several years,
to the University of Houston as a tenured professor, and then got
lured back to be the Program Manager. He does have the clarity of
vision to help us to see when things are too stovepiped, and he has
the academic credentials to call people’s bluff and say, “No,
you can’t keep doing your thing. We’re not going to do
that thing anymore. We’ve solved that problem. You don’t
get to have a lifetime endowment to study a problem we don’t
have.” We’ve got problems in the human life sciences area
that need to be resolved before we can tell the engineers how to build
the rocket ship. If we don’t give them the answers that we want,
they will make something up, and then the Mars vehicles will not solve
our problems and cause other problems, and it’ll be our fault
because we weren’t there with the right answer. We’re
doing an awful lot of focusing down.
The reason I reacted so intensely to the word prioritization is that
every life sciences manager, and every other manager in NASA, cannot
resist the lure, the siren call, of prioritization. Give me a list
of things, and I’ll tell you which ones are more important and
which ones are least important. Then you say, “That’s
great. You put all your resources in the bone problems. Right now
we’ve got carbon dioxide in the cabin and it’s suffocating
people. Are you cool with that?”
They’ll say, “Oh. Well, no.” They put carbon dioxide
up there.
You say, “You’ve solved the carbon dioxide problem but
now the food is all spoiled because we don’t know how to protect
it from radiation. Not a problem?”
They say, “Oh. Well, no.” Everything gets to be the topmost
risk again. They are all naively seduced by the idea of being the
general, the admiral, and pointing fingers, and telling people how
to go prioritize and you do this and you do that and when you fix
your problem come back and I’ll give you a new assignment. There’s
a lot of subtlety that has to be beaten into people.
Recapping, we’re still doing that. I like to say we’re
fighting the battle. We’re still engaged in that process, and
it is extremely difficult to do with smart good subject matter experts.
The people we went out and hired to do this job because they’re
the right people to do this job are not good at doing this other job
that we now decide is important.
That is probably going to be one of the things that takes the rest
of my career and the rest of our management staff’s time at
NASA, just trying to make the program responsive to its actual customers,
the engineers, who fully live the idea that better is the enemy of
good, and if I can get you an 80 percent solution, don’t hold
out for the 95 percent solution or the 100 percent solution, because
we can’t afford it, and somebody else needs an 80 percent solution
in the meantime.
We’re trying to decide how far to go in those directions, but
we are right now telling our subject matter experts that we’re
done with your discipline area. In my particular case, I work in the
orthostatic intolerance and cardiovascular area. I am the one that
tells the cardiovascular guys: we’re done with this problem.
If you faint when you stand up after a spaceflight, don’t stand
up, it’s not that hard.
They say, “Yes, but the mechanisms are important. It’s
important to understand the mechanisms because you can’t design
the best countermeasure if you don’t know what the mechanisms
are. You can’t fix the watch that’s broken if you don’t
know the pieces that are broken.”
I say, “That’s not our job. Our job is to keep them conscious
while they’re landing on Mars and getting ready to go outside
on Mars.” We know how to do that. They land seated or recumbent.
It happens all the time on other rocket ships. You give them a G-suit
[pressure suit] because you make them take the G-suit off when you
do your orthostatic testing on them. Obviously it works, otherwise,
you wouldn’t make them take it off before you test them. When
we test them, they take their G-suit off after a spaceflight, and
make them stand up quietly or put them on a tilt table, and tilt them
until they faint.
We say, “Don’t move your legs because that constricts
the blood vessels and gets the blood flowing back to the brain, and
we’re trying to avoid that.” So, we’ve got ways
to keep people from fainting. Keep them seated or recumbent, keep
them in their G-suits. Don’t let them stand still. All the things
we do to them to understand the mechanisms of the cardiovascular system,
that is the right way to do a mechanistic scientific study, but that’s
not what our job is. Our job is to keep them functional and conscious
when they’re on another planet. We know what to do. Let’s
not do this other stuff anymore. I’m not saying science is bad.
I’m not saying understanding the mechanisms is bad. There may
be a Nobel Prize in there for somebody, but that’s not what
we can spend our limited dollars on to solve problems for the Mars
or for the exploration class missions. We got to focus.
It is very hard for me as a cardiovascular guy to convince my successors
as cardiovascular guys that this is the right approach. They keep
saying, “Oh, well, we don’t know for sure that one-third
of a G [force of gravity] on Mars will not cause them to faint. We
don’t know for sure whether the space radiation will cause vascular
problems that will cause them to have other problems later on.”
I’m saying, “Yes, we do. I will sign on the dotted line
that that is not a risk anymore. I will be accountable in 30 years
when the Mars astronauts all die because they fainted when they stood
up and the blood didn’t flow to their head. I will take the
blame for that. Let’s move on to something else.”
We have the same problem in the sensorimotor, the neurosensory area.
Space motion sickness is extremely important. It goes away, sort of,
in three days.
“Oh, well, it does, but we don’t know if the nervous system
is being restructured and rearchitected while they’re in space,
and then when they are exposed to another gravity field they may not
respond the same way.” That’s all true. Nobel Prize material.
Not part of our job description. Our job description is to help them
land on Mars or another planet and successfully survive, stand up,
be able to ambulate, do things, pick up rocks, discover life, discover
ancient civilizations, whatever is on the planet. We don’t have
to understand every neuron in the vestibular system, how it got rewired
during the six months of weightlessness. They’re not going to
be totally different. There’s going to be some functionality.
We know that because the astronauts coming back to Earth are still
functional. Let’s move on.
I call these mafias. The cardiovascular mafia and the sensorimotor
mafia. That’s tongue in cheek, but they’re extremely internally
focused. They really really think I’m wrong. They think it’s
unethical and immoral for me to be saying these things. It’s
really a matter of education and then at some point saying, “We’re
done, we can’t focus on that anymore, I know you’re unhappy
about it, I know you’re going to argue with me, I know you’re
going to file a dissenting report, but we have to move on.”
That’s the situation we’re in in the cardiovascular area,
the sensorimotor area. The bone area, we actually do seem to be having
a countermeasure that is the Resistive Exercise Device, plus the bisphosphonate,
the Fosamax, the alendronate does seem to protect bone density on
six-month missions and bone architecture. We’d like to get away
from the pills, so we’re now finishing up the study of the resistive
exercise without the pills.
By accident when we started doing the study a decade ago, we assigned
the same astronauts to do the exercise and the alendronate pills.
Science 101, your first day in science school, is don’t give
two interventions to the same test subject. We seemed to think it
was no problem. I don’t know if I’m responsible for that
decision or not. I don’t know how we let it go, but we have
this population of people that did the resistive exercise and the
pills and now we’re doing just the resistive exercise in a separate
group of people to see what the differential effects are of the pills
and the exercise.
Embarrassing. There it is. It happened, and we’re recovering
from it. But, we do have evidence that resistive exercise is going
to be a big part of the solution to the bone architecture problem.
By architecture I mean the internal structure of the bone, which is
as important, or more important than the total bone density. We talk
about losing calcium out of the bones, but it’s important where
it comes from, because the bone is just not a slab of bone, it’s
got architecture inside that is designed by the celestial committee
on design to resist the loads that the bone is exposed to. It’s
beautifully engineered to do its job. By putting it in weightlessness
we change that engineering, and then we bring it back to gravity and
say, “Oh, you’re back where you were before.” The
bones are saying, “Yes, but I don’t have that capability
anymore, what are we going to do about it?”
That’s okay. We seem to have a solution, a big—a gross—that
is a top level solution to that problem. When I say gross I mean not
subtle, not elegant, but a functional solution to that problem. The
bone people still are unhappy because they want to do the bone studies.
We’re saying, “Getting pretty close to having a solution.
The best solution we’ve seen in a long time.”
The immune folks are still in the rudimentary stages of collecting
data and trying to determine really are there immune changes. There
are immune changes, but they’re trying to understand how significant
and what direction they are and what the problems are. We have neglected
the immune studies for a long long time, and now it’s biting
us on the backside. We’re trying to learn what is important
about the immune functions.
Johnson:
What type of immune changes are there?
Charles:
There are increased viral reactivations, they call it. That is, we
all have viruses. Sometimes you get the sores in your mouth. Those
are viruses that are being reactivated by stress or something you
ate or something. We all carry those viruses around. You have outbreaks
of these viruses in your body. They can be detected in your blood
and your saliva.
It seems to be related to stress. Astronauts have increased stress
responses even before they launch because they’re so overwhelmed
and overworked by the preparations for launch. Sometimes the stress
levels and the viruses and the other indicators go back down in space
and sometimes they don’t, depending on the response, the characteristics
of the mission. There are different kinds of immune function. There’s
the intrinsic, the innate, and then there’s the adaptive, which
is responding to stimulation, to the problems that activate the immune
system. I’m not an immune expert. I just told you everything
I know about it.
The point is there are many kinds of immune functions that we’re
trying to understand. There’s also the evidence that some of
the potential stressors like bacteria and viruses might be made stronger
by being in space for some reason. Like The Andromeda Strain [book
by Michael Crichton, and film], except not quite so dramatic.
Johnson:
Let’s hope not.
Charles:
E. coli [Escherichia coli bacteria] and things like that seem to be
expressing unfortunately more robust variants in spaceflight than
they would on the ground. There’s a lot of work amongst the
microbiologists to understand what’s going on with them and
what about spaceflight is making them more robust and more of a problem
for causing illness and disease amongst astronauts.
I haven’t even talked about the psychological/psychosocial aspects
of spaceflight. This is an area that we’re putting effort into.
We’re focusing on this. My perception is that the psychological/psychosocial
domain is able to judge its success by the ability to avoid psychological
problems or if they occur by the ability to defuse them and to resolve
them. The major work they’re doing is developing metrics for
understanding when these problems might occur in a crew in space and
then understanding how to rectify the situation if there is a problem,
like an open conflict. How do you go through conflict resolution,
how do you build teams so they don’t have conflict, what happens
inside of a single person’s head that might predispose that
person to having psychological problems that can be related to spaceflight?
It’s not weightlessness per se. It’s the isolation, confinement,
the distance from Earth, the autonomy, the small group of people,
the same five other faces for two and a half years would probably
make most people wacky. The small volume available, you can’t
go out for a walk, you can’t really get too far away from somebody
else, so how do you maintain distance. Guys like me would not do very
well in the situation, because I don’t like large numbers of
people or even small numbers of people, and I don’t like being
confined like that so much.
There’s selection criteria that need to be understood, and then
especially the countermeasures. Psychological/psychosocial people,
which we call behavioral health and performance, are interested in
documenting problems in spaceflight. The last things astronauts will
tell you about is any psychological problems they had in spaceflight,
for a variety of reasons. Luckily we have ways of understanding through
some simple testing cognitive changes, that is brain function changes,
that may be occurring in spaceflight, which may be related to psychological
or psychosocial problems.
We also have for a group of astronauts on the Space Station convinced
them to let us read their diaries. It’s a very walled-off investigation.
Jack Stuster from out in California is the PI [Principal Investigator]
for that. He proposed this, and we liked it so much, we keep renewing
him and getting him new populations, because many astronauts keep
diaries in space.
What he does is say, “If you keep a diary, let me read it. I
will maintain it, protect it, nobody will ever see it again, I promise.”
We’ve tested that, and nobody else gets to see it. He gets to
see it. Then he goes through and analyzes the content of the diary
and categorizes the statements so that he will say that people—and
he won’t say who—but he’ll say that 62 percent have
problems with Mission Control, or 61 percent have problems with each
other but they blame Mission Control, things like that. He gave us
some very very good overall feedback about what happens that can be
gleaned from diaries. That’s an example of data that we get.
I like to say that when you look at the chart that I have of the changes
that occur in the human body in spaceflight, many of the physiological
parameters respond quickly to going into spaceflight, presumably respond
quickly to weightlessness. Your fluid volume shifts and the corresponding
line on the chart goes up. Then at some point your fluid volume is
regulated and your nervous system responds appropriately, and so the
line comes back down. Your vestibular system responds to the absence
of apparent gravity. After it figures that all out the stress comes
back down. Bone loss continues for the time that you’re in flight
unless you’re doing exercise. Muscle loss tracks bone lass because
it responds to the exercise. Radiation exposure: the longer you’re
in space, the more radiation you get. So, that line continues to increase
essentially indefinitely.
The psychological aspects of spaceflight may well be along the bottom
axis of the chart: nothing, nothing, nothing, nothing, nothing, nothing,
oh my God, disaster. There’s not a line to it and there’s
not a response time to it. You can compensate as a group and as an
individual until you can’t compensate anymore, and now the specialists
are trying to understand what are the markers for that, how do we
know when somebody’s getting close, how do we help that person
stay compensated. We call those metrics and countermeasures.
The purpose of the research in that area is to understand that problem
and most especially to develop, deliver, and validate those countermeasures,
so that like the rest of us when a program decides to send astronauts
to Mars, they can pull the book off the shelf that will have been
written and open up the chapter that says, “Psychological/psychosocial
and here are the countermeasures, here’s what we’re going
to do to keep our people happy and healthy on the way to Mars.”
It’s difficult, as I said, to get astronauts to tell us about
the problems they have unless they’re keeping a diary, and then
somebody knows about it. They just tell us indirectly in general terms
what the problems were. The flight surgeons know but they can’t
tell us. The psychologists know but they really can’t tell us.
So, we’re doing a lot of the work—this is a very long
story, I’m getting to the point now—we do more and more
of the psychological work in isolation facilities on the ground, where
we can put people together in situations that we wouldn’t be
able to do in spaceflight. Typically up until now they’ve been
graduate students, or undergrads. We’re trying to get more people
like real astronauts in their forties and fifties and having done
things in their lives, not academics. Engineers and whoever else,
and putting them into isolation facilities.
We have the HERA [Human Exploration Research Analog] facility here
at JSC. There’s the NEEMO [NASA Extreme Environment Mission
Operations] facility in the Florida Keys. There’s the HI-SEAS
[Hawaii Space Exploration Analog and Simulation] on the volcano in
Hawaii which we have a funded investigator working in. There’s
a facility in Germany. There’s a facility in Russia. There are
others that we are not allowed to work on in China. People are doing
this kind of work and we’re trying to coordinate all that, or
at least understand what everybody else is doing, so we know what’s
being done and what needs to be done and learn the lessons from what
has been done.
We will take the work from especially our facilities that leads to
a countermeasure and then try to validate—whatever that means—that
countermeasure in spaceflight. We’re not going to be doing these
stressful situations on the Space Station. We’ll be doing them
in the analogue facility, the isolation—and Antarctica too,
I forgot that, and there’s some in the Arctic as well—then
take the lessons learned, develop the countermeasures, and put them
on the Space Station for use in case of a problem, but also try to
figure out a way to validate them by causing small problems that hint
at the issues and see if our countermeasures prevent them or correct
them. Or if we’re doing countermeasures that are preventing
the problem, I guess we incorporate those. Is the absence of a problem
evidence of our success, or is absence of a problem evidence that
there was no problem to begin with? It’s one of those dilemmas
that we will have to figure out at some point.
This comes back to what I said earlier about the risks of spaceflight
and the fact that we’re looking for 80 percent solutions, because
we will not be able to mimic every future Mars mission until we fly
every future Mars mission. We have to use our best guess based on
the insights of a lot of very smart dedicated people to decide what
the problems really are likely to be and what the best solutions are
likely to be. When I say likely in both those contexts that’s
not 100 percent. That’s 60 or 70 or 80 percent times 60 or 70
or 80 percent. We’re talking about a reasonable chance that
we’ve missed the boat at some point in all that work we’ve
been doing, but it’s not because we’re slackers. It’s
not because we’re not trying our best. It’s just because
sometimes you don’t know things until you know these things.
Johnson:
It’s like the eyesight problem that just popped up relatively
recently.
Charles:
But, was there all along.
Johnson:
Yes. We talked about that before. It’s difficult to figure out
what all the problems are going to be when you don’t know what
all the problems are going to be.
Charles:
Chuck [Charles A.] Berry, the Chief Flight Surgeon here at the Manned
Spacecraft Center back in the ’60s, used to tell Deke [Donald
K.] Slayton and the other engineers, “Deke, you won’t
let me take any of your astronauts and test them to destruction, so
I don’t know what their breaking points are. You can do that
with the hydraulic system or a rocket engine or a landing gear or
parachute. You can take some off the assembly line and break them
and know what their characteristics are. But you’d get mad if
I do that to your astronauts. So we have to do the best we can without
that kind of definitive information.”
That story is still true today, still correct now.
Johnson:
There was a lot of unknowns early in spaceflight, so if you don’t
fly because you don’t know, then you’ll never know.
Charles:
You never know. You just have to cross your fingers and say, “I’m
pretty sure I got this figured out and I feel good about the risk
we’re taking and we’ll learn something along the way.”
I think it’s been a successful model globally up until now.
Johnson:
I think so too. Going back to that 2005 time period, President George
W. Bush’s Vision for Space Exploration after the Columbia accident,
and then the subsequent designation of the U.S. portion of the ISS
as a U.S. National Lab. That’s about the same time that the
Human Research Program—as you talked about the change there.
Talk about that time period as far as whether that designation as
a National Lab—because the idea was to start the research coming
from different places, not just NASA. You had mentioned before that
prior to 107 science was the stepchild as far as NASA was concerned.
Then you’re in a process of trying to build the Space Station
and having setbacks, but then they’ve designated this as a National
Lab, so now science is becoming somewhat a priority, but you’re
still building a Space Station. Talk about that time period and just
how much research was going on in your area on ISS in those early
years.
Charles:
In those early years we were the beneficiaries of that because even
though it was designated as a national lab, it was not clear to us
what that meant. I naively thought early on that that was good for
us because obviously we’re doing lab science, so that must mean
that we have priority. I was wrong. It’s non-NASA research and
if I’d read the legislation or any of the descriptions more
carefully or at all I would have seen that. But, it made no difference
to us. We became the de facto dominant science because we take so
much crew time for our biomedical research. A lot of other science
can be done with minimal crew time because the astronauts set it up,
turn it on, walk away or float away, and then come back later, and
wonderful things have been accomplished in the meantime because of
the design of the experiment and the design of the hardware.
Our stuff almost always requires continual attention and involvement
of the crew members, so, we’re the biggest crew time user. Up
until the last couple of years, literally until the early 2010s, essentially
we did not reach the limit of what was available for our human research.
There was limitations on how much mass can be launched and scheduling,
how much power and mass and volume. Up until the last couple of years,
2013-ish or so, we could accommodate pretty much anything we wanted
to accommodate. We did a lot of self-regulation, self-censoring, so
we were, for the Human Research Program, focused on risks that related
to exploration class missions. We were not just throwing things willy-nilly
at the Space Station astronauts but we were not bumping against any
limits.
That was because CASIS [Center for the Advancement of Science in Space],
the organization chartered to manage the National Lab aspect of the
Station, which is 50 percent of all U.S. resources, was still getting
off the ground. They did not have meaningful significant investigations
to put on the Space Station. We took up the slack. In the last couple
of years now they’ve started coming forward and saying, “We
want our 50 percent now.”
We keep saying, “But we’ve already filled that 50 percent
up.”
The Station Program says, “Sorry, guys, they got dibs. You only
got it because they weren’t ready yet, but now they’re
ready.”
We say, “Yes, but we’re important, we’re solving
problems for going to Mars.”
Everybody else says, “Well, that’s true, except that’s
not the only thing we’re using the Space Station for.”
It’s a little bit of the “jilted lover” thing. You
told me I was number one and now I’m not, and now you’ve
got another boyfriend on the side and you don’t want me to leave
but you don’t want me to be the only one either.
I may have mentioned this before. It’s even more pointed than
that because number one, we’re not sure what it is the National
Lab, what CASIS is doing. Much of what they do looks to us like frivolous.
They defend it obviously as being very meaningful. Especially if it’s
commercially sponsored, the commercial folks don’t want anybody
to know what they’re doing because there’s intellectual
property and there’s corporate secrets. It’s hard to defend
something you can’t really talk about.
We feel like our heavenly mandated charter to solve the problems for
astronauts going to Mars really needs to be the most important one.
Congress keeps telling us, “No, I’m sorry, you’re
not as important as you think you should be. It’s important
to develop the infrastructure that’s going to keep space going,
and that’s going to require commercial investment. This is how
we do that. We’re giving them a chance to develop their capabilities
so they have a future in space that will benefit all of us.”
I understand that.
Over the last couple of years—I keep saying last couple of years.
It’s really in the last year or so. We’ve really been
constrained with cutting back on research that we’re doing in
space. We’re focusing even more on the most critical risks,
the highest priority work. The discussion we had earlier about categorization
and prioritization activity, those really are current events for the
Human Research Program, for HRP. We’re still struggling with
how much is enough to answer the question.
Rule of thumb for physiology in spaceflight at least is 10 or 12 crew
member subjects all doing exactly the same thing is enough to even
out the biological variability between people. Tall, short, fat, skinny,
young, old, male, female. All those features and more caused slight
differences in the way the body responds to a stimulus, a stress,
a condition. But, you don’t want to know what Fred’s response
is and what Susie’s response is, you want to know what the human
response is. The variation around that average is Fred and Susie and
male, female, and old and young.
We say we need 8 to 12 crew members to do the exact same thing. We’re
probably not going to get 8 to 12 crew members in the new constrained
era because the crew time is now being taken up by the National Lab
activities. We have to really focus down and we have to go through
some self-education processes. We have to decide since our 8 to 12
rule of thumb is really based on a diverse population, and astronauts
are not diverse, they’re carefully selected, they’re screened,
they’re really almost all from the same cookie cutter. When
you look at crew photos and you see the “moose” and you
see the tiny little female you say, “They’re not the same.”
There is some diversity but it’s nothing like in the overall
population.
On the Space Station they really are getting to be much more homogeneous.
Can we reduce our requirement from 8 to 12 down to 6 or 5 or 4, based
on the fact that these guys and women really are pretty much—they’re
much more alike than the general population?
Also, can we reduce the power of the statistical analysis? There are
rules of thumb we all learn in science school: 0.05, 1 chance in 20
of a random variation. If it’s less than 1 chance in 20, 0.05,
then we’ll call it significant. That’ll be a meaningful
difference due to whatever your brilliant intervention was. Maybe
we don’t need to have that kind of power in our statistics.
Maybe we’re looking for gross changes and not subtle changes.
If I put an astronaut in space and there are differences but they’re
not meaningful differences, well, then that’s good enough. Again
it gets back to that whole 80 percent solution problem. Yes, you’re
going to lose bone. Yes, you’re going to lose muscle. But, you’re
not going to lose so much that you have a fracture risk, for example.
We can live with that. That’s not elegant. It’s not beautiful.
It’s not Nobel Prize-winning, but it’ll get you to Mars
and back and you’ll be functional there and back.
That’s the education process we in the Human Research Program,
both at management and at the scientist level, are going through now.
Understanding with the help of some very clever statisticians that
are largely writing the literature on what we call small n statistics,
n being the number of people or subjects that are participating, small
n being a small number, 2, 3, 4, 5, versus 10, 12, 100, 1,000. With
that kind of guidance and that kind of sensitivity we are with difficulty
making those adjustments. That allows us then to continue being useful
on the Space Station even in the face of having seen 50 percent of
the resources that we normally use now dedicated to the National Lab
for the greater benefit.
Johnson:
I was talking to Mike [Michael E.] Read. He mentioned that the addition
of a seventh crew member is actually going to double from the average
of 35 hours a week to approximately 70 hours a week of actual crew
time. Is that then divided in half for you?
Charles:
Yes, it will be. I will tell you now, digressing again, that that’s
a lovely story for them to tell us. “Oh, just wait till we get
the seventh crew member on board. Then crew time is not going to be
a problem anymore.” When the Shuttle started flying there was
two astronauts on board the first four flights. The story was always,
“These guys are flying, you can’t bother them, but when
we put more people on board then there’ll be time for science.”
Then they started flying four astronauts. One of them was the flight
engineer, and then the other guy was the arm operator. The response
then was, “It takes four to fly the Shuttle.”
“Now wait a second. You told me it took two to fly the Shuttle,
now I see four, now you’re saying it takes four to fly the Shuttle.”
“Yes, but when we put more people on in later flights there’ll
be plenty of people to do your science.” Then they started putting
five on. “It takes all five of these people to fly the Shuttle.”
“Wait a second. It took two. Are there just not as good astronauts
anymore? Because it took two guys back in the early ’80s and
now here in the late ’80s, the ’90s, you’re telling
me it takes five people to fly the Shuttle.”
“Oh, well, they have a lot of important work to do, and it’s
not yours, but it’s somebody else’s work.” Then
the two payload specialists came along. “Those are your two
guys.” Sometimes they were not even scientists. Sometimes they
were congressmen and Saudi princes, but they were our test subjects.
Out of seven people on a crew we got one or two, nonscientists, pretty
much baffled by what we were asking them to do. But, they had the
benefit of not being familiar enough with it to improve on it, so
they would follow the checklist if they could.
Then after Columbia, no more payload specialists, except for Neurolab.
Then it became seven people on the Space Shuttle routinely and none
of them were ours, because it takes, say it with me, “Seven
people to fly the Space Shuttle.”
Now Space Station. Three people were on board. They’re busy
maintaining and scrubbing the walls and building and constructing.
The Shuttle comes up. Yes, they’re dropping stuff off and leaving
stuff all over, and then these poor three schmucks on the Station
have to put it all together and put it all away and get functional.
Then there’s another Shuttle mission with another seven people
kicking stuff and breaking stuff and dropping more stuff off. Then
the three guys have to go do it again. “But when we get four
on board, or when we get up to six, then it’ll be good.”
No, it’s not good. I am quite anxious to see for the first time
in the history of spaceflight the addition of the seventh person that
will make our research suddenly just flow like milk and honey out
of the River Jordan.
Johnson:
It should be interesting to see, especially since now that it’s
moving from an assembly period into a utilization period, and as you
mentioned with 50 percent of it dedicated to other than NASA research,
and part of that being commercial. Of course that helps NASA. It also
helps NASA in political ways because they have someone that can go
to Congress and fight for them, and NASA doesn’t have to necessarily
do that. Now we have commercial interests that want to see the ISS
succeed, and something to follow after ISS. You see the benefit of
these commercial partners, but at the same time NASA is still exploration
and your area has to know what’s happening.
Charles:
Nobody has taken this responsibility away from us. Nobody has said,
“You know what, we’re more interested in commercial success
than in preparation for exploration. Relax, HRP, the pressure is off,
don’t worry about it.” Nobody has said that to us. Carolyn
[L.] Huntoon, one of my early mentors here, when I used to feel this
way, I used to feel just like this back when I was in the Cardiovascular
Lab.
I’d go to Carolyn, because she hired me. I felt like I had entree
to her. I’d say, “You’ve given us several things
to do, all of which take 100 percent of the time. Which one is your
priority?”
She’d say, “John, they’re all first priority.”
I’d say, “I get it. None of them are first priority. I
get to choose which one is the first priority.” It’s the
same way with the Space Station research we’re doing. Our work
is important and we’re trying to fit into a box.
Gerstenmaier tells Paloski, “I’m not telling you to stop,
I’m just telling you to go figure it out.” He’s
saying, “You, Paloski, and [Michael T.] Suffredini, and [Gregory
H.] Johnson, go figure it out. You’re all smart boys. You were
hired because you know how to do things, so go do this thing. I’m
not taking the responsibility away from you. I’m not going to
say HRP first, then commercial, then Space Station. I’m saying
they all need to be done. They’re all first priority. You’re
all smart. Figure it out.”
Johnson:
It should be interesting to see how it plays out here in the next
couple years.
Charles:
It should be. I’m very pleased to see, reading in the space
press, that the last Space Station Research Conference was so well
attended. People are so enthusiastic finally about the Space Station
as a research venue.
Johnson:
The one in July that just happened, that Research and Development
conference?
Charles:
Was it in Boston? I think it was in Boston in July.
Johnson:
Yes.
Charles:
Yes. I’d been to the first few of those, and they were lackluster,
but apparently now it really looks like the potential customer community
is getting enthusiastic. Not a moment too soon. You’re right
though that anything that keeps the space program vigorous and healthy
and active is going to be good for all of us. A rising tide really
will lift all boats and we will get more visibility and more credibility
and have more responsibility. Not as much as we want, but more than
we would have otherwise.
Johnson:
Let’s talk about the National Space Biomedical Research Institute
[NSBRI] and that relationship. You mentioned it in one of the other
oral histories. From what I’ve read, in ’96 NASA, knowing
that they didn’t have the resources to deal with all the medical
challenges, created a cooperative agreement with this nonprofit. Is
it housed with Baylor [College of Medicine, Center for Space Medicine,
Houston, Texas]?
Charles:
Yes.
Johnson:
Could you talk about that relationship as far as with the Human Research
Program, since it sounds to me like it’s more in line with what
you’re trying to do? How does NASA work with them?
Charles:
The National Space Biomedical Research Institute was chartered in
’97 and they got a 20-year charter with 5-year interim reviews.
We’re now in the last couple of years of that charter, and HRP
is now considering how to reinitiate that process for the 21st century.
NSBRI as it currently exists will cease to function as it currently
functions in 2017, but something will follow. There will be another
organization with a slightly different target because things have
changed. What has changed is partly perception. At least in my perception
it’s partly perception. In the late ’90s there was the
appearance of lots of these external organizations through cooperative
agreements. The Space Telescope Institute, the Astrobiology Institute.
All these institutes. This one was expected to be something along
the same lines, that is it would provide the in-depth subject matter
expertise that NASA would not be expected to provide in these biomedical
areas.
I have told people, and I have been corrected, but my recollection
was that the expectation was that NASA would continue to provide the
project management expertise but the real intellect, the scientific
expertise, would be in the NSBRI. I don’t think I was wrong,
even though I’ve been corrected, because they populated themselves
accordingly. They populated themselves with mostly world-class scientists
from the U.S. primarily in all the different topic areas that NASA
identified.
Along the way, NASA started to shift some personnel, especially contractor
personnel, from the support contract to the cooperative agreement.
Some of the in-house scientists that were contractors moved from Wyle
or Krug or whatever it was at that time to NSBRI. Some also moved
to USRA [Universities Space Research Association]. USRA has another
cooperative agreement that supports NASA in a slightly different way.
Over the course of the 20 years it became clear that having a separate
management structure and a separate organization—which had a
separate charter and separate marching orders—was not going
to be the best way to solve the near term problems that NASA Human
Research Program had identified. NASA did not divest itself of its
internal civil service science cadre, which might have been the case.
NASA might have delegated or IPAed [Intergovernmental Personnel Act]
or something the internal scientists to these other organizations,
USRA or NSBRI, but we didn’t. We kept an internal cadre. They
were the favored children. They were the more beloved of the children.
The NSBRI folks were the less beloved of the children because obviously
familiarity and exposure and also the fact that the internal folks
were familiar with the problems of spaceflight, whereas many but not
all of the external folks were new to spaceflight and needed to be
educated to our very peculiar functions and institutions. Clearly
there’s an advantage to having new blood, but there’s
also an efficiency that’s lost if everybody is new and doesn’t
know what it is, which part of the rocket goes up, and what happens
in space.
Over the course of let’s say the first 10 years or so, NSBRI
was functioning as essentially an independent research institution,
solving problems that NASA didn’t really have, because they
were interesting problems, and that was what their charter said to
do. With HRP becoming chartered itself and then rising to preeminence
in the internal human research area, we began providing more specific
direction to NSBRI. NSBRI in their various management manifestations
resisted, because that was not what they were told to do, that’s
not what they were populated to do, that’s not what they were
chartered to do. It looked like a bad idea to them. It looked like
these folks on the inside who were just worried about their own paychecks
and their own cushy jobs were trying to get rid of the competition.
Not saying that wasn’t true, but I am saying that that was not
completely true and that with the acknowledgment that the NSBRI could
not go away within the 20 years, a bit of an uneasy truce was established,
which has become I think more comfortable and easier now, with a lot
more interaction between the organizations at the management level
and a lot more interaction between the organizations within the structure
of the organizations themselves. To the point now where some of the
civil service scientists are team leads for the discipline teams at
NSBRI and where there is some travel back and forth between the organizations.
Well, not as much as there might have been, but there’s some
exchange in personnel between the organizations.
There’s also more responsibilities being offered to the NSBRI
folks in the space and the HRP planning process. We’re bringing
some of their expertise in house at the management level so they understand
what it is that we’re doing and understand how it needs to be
done. The NSBRI has evolved I think to becoming a “less different”
organization than it started out to be. It’s now appropriate
for the charter to be revised to reflect the current realities and
the current requirements of our reality.
They have come through their five-year reviews in very good condition.
They always review well. We’re involved in the reviews as part
of the explanation to the external reviewers what it is we’re
expecting from NSBRI. Then NSBRI will say, “Yes. You heard what
NASA expects from us and here’s how we respond or don’t
respond and here are the reasons why we do or don’t respond.”
NSBRI also has the advantage, I think you mentioned earlier about
CASIS as well, that they can go to Congress and they can testify to
Congress about needs and problems, whereas we really can’t.
Gerstenmaier goes to Congress and talks about the big problems, hardware
and funding, and might have a sentence or two in there about oh yes,
biomedical problems as well. NSBRI has developed over the decades
some political connections, especially here in Texas with our senators.
Kay Bailey Hutchison, who has retired now, but when she was the senior
senator from Texas she was well connected with NSBRI. Charlie [Charles
F.] Bolden was on the board of directors before he became the NASA
Administrator. Obviously he’s not on the board of directors
anymore, but he’s familiar with NSBRI and he’s a good
friend in general of life sciences even as Administrator within the
limits of his capabilities.
I think with the turnover in the political leadership and the fact
that the cooperative agreement is now reaching its final couple years,
it’ll be important to come up with a different model for the
extramural participation. I think NSBRI has demonstrated great strength
and great value in having that extramural capability, the ability
to go out and find expertise for a problem that pops up, and then
when that problem is resolved not to have to maintain that expertise
internally as a civil servant or retirement plans.
HRP’s problems have also evolved since the late ’90s.
We now think we have solutions to problems, whereas we really didn’t
at that time. Now it’s more a matter of translation, of incorporation,
what we call transition to operations and transition to—writing
the book that we’re going to put on the shelf. I keep using
that metaphor, but the idea is there will be answers in that book
and now we need to get the operators, the flight surgeons, the astronauts,
the mission controllers, aware of these solutions so they can incorporate
them, and the vehicle designers, so they can design vehicles that
don’t cause problems to astronauts based on the research we’ve
been doing. It’s time for a revamping of NSBRI and USRA and
HRP to meet the needs going forward in the next few decades of the
21st century.
Johnson:
I think that clears that up for me, because I wasn’t sure about
that relationship and exactly how it worked.
Charles:
Yes. It was rough for a little while, but we’re all dedicated
and mature individuals. Nobody liked it being adversarial, and we’ve
moved beyond that.
Johnson:
That’s good. You mentioned that the move from building the Space
Station, the assembly mentality to the utilization mentality—
Charles:
Right. I didn’t repeat that, but for the record, that’s
a big deal. Going from the construction phase to the utilization phase
really has changed the way the Space Station is regarded and is used.
I give full credit to Mike Suffredini and his group and Julie Robinson
for embracing that change in paradigm and really doing whatever they
can to make utilization the priority on the Station, even though I’m
unhappy that we’re not the most important utilization aspect
of that process.
Johnson:
They have that Revolutionize ISS for Science and Exploration team,
the RISE team. Have you been involved in any of that?
Charles:
No. I hear about things like that but I really have enough other things
to do. I’m delighted when somebody else takes on those responsibilities.
Johnson:
Let’s talk about the one-year mission and some of those aspects
of what’s going on in research with the one-year mission. You’ve
been involved in some of that. If you want to talk about your involvement
in it. You mentioned before that the one-year mission—and because
of your current position it’s interesting—is like going
back to Phase I with the Shuttle-Mir [Program] because of our relationship
with Russia and that cooperation. If you want to talk about that mission
and what the hope is, the research that’s going to be done,
and then of course with the twins and the twin research that’s
going on because of that.
Charles:
The one-year mission evolved over the last two and a half years. The
collaborative effort was really initiated in the latter part of 2012.
That was what I call the Mike [Michael R.] Barratt era. Mike Barratt
was our interim program manager after Dennis Grounds left. Barratt
was appointed by Bill Gerstenmaier to be our program manager for about
a year to help bring us around, the Human Research Program, to focus
us on the capabilities that we need to really be focused on for exploration
risk resolution.
That was simultaneously with the Space Station refocusing from construction
to utilization. Mike Barratt did a very good job of asking everybody
what problems they had and what solutions they might envision to get
their research work done. One of the recurring themes was that we
didn’t have enough astronaut participants. I mentioned before
the small n problem. Barratt, having flown on the Space Station himself
and having worked with the internationals and especially the Russians
and having a very tight connection with the Russians, having been
the lead flight surgeon for Norm [Norman E.] Thagard back in Phase
I, he has a strong insight into the Russian/Ukrainian/Slavic universe.
And on the Space Station having noticed that the Russian cosmonauts
were not always fully occupied for reasons programmatically on their
side, he wondered why we were suffering from a shortage of warm bodies
of astronauts when in fact we were only using half the crew members
available.
Now about the same time there was interest on the Russian side with
flying a one-year mission. I don’t know, I was not privy to
all of the deliberations. Along about the second half of 2012 the
Space Station Program managers appointed themselves a committee of
the whole, the ISS Experts Working Group to attack several different
problems. I don’t know how many teams they formed themselves
into to address the future of the Space Station.
The teams included things like deorbiting the Space Station when its
lifetime was over. How do you do that safely? Keeping the Space Station
functioning as long as you can. How do you do that safely? There was
a few others. One of them was using the Space Station to prepare for
Mars missions, essentially code for using it to simulate going to
Mars. Another one was something along the lines of facilitating international
collaboration so that you don’t have redundant requirements
and redundant resources required on the Space Station.
The example there is some astronaut in the deep dark past checked
his daily worksheet and found out he had to put on a Holter recorder,
an ECG [electrocardiogram] recorder, for an American investigator,
and a different one for a Japanese investigator, and a different one
for a European investigator, perhaps, and obviously asked the question,
“Why can’t you guys all get together and get your data
from one recorder?”
Turns out there’s very good reasons why there are three different
kind of recorders. They just looked the same to the guy but they were
really different. They had different requirements. The timeliners
just said, “Well, they’re all Holters and they’re
all using electrodes and he’s got plenty of room on his chest
for all these different electrodes. Let’s just schedule them
all the same day.”
There was some naive scheduling involved as well as naivete on the
part of the proposers, the scientists and everybody else. That became
the rule of thumb for the purpose of international collaboration,
so that nobody ever has to do three Holter recorders anymore, it became
that specific. No more three cardiovascular recorders on the same
guy on the same day.
That has become my dogma in my job as the International Collaboration
Manager for the Human Research Program. These expert teams met. Mike
Barratt and Barbara [J.] Corbin from the Human Research Program were
part of Team 5. Team 5 was this multinational collaboration. Team
6 was the one that dealt with using the Space Station to simulate
aspects of going to Mars. They included in that a one-year mission
scenario.
The Russians may have proposed the one-year mission scenario, but
NASA was very enthusiastic about it at the management level. The Russians
also coincidentally saw an opportunity for more tourist flights on
the Soyuz, because if an astronaut goes to the Station for one year
and the Soyuzes have a six-month lifetime, that astronaut is not coming
back when the Soyuz comes back. A fresh Soyuz has to go up to replace
the stale one. “Oh, look, there’s an empty seat going
up and back in the space of a few days or a few weeks, and there’s
this backlog of people that are willing to pay $60 million to do that,
so perhaps we can find a happy way to satisfy both the one-year mission
and the tourist opportunity.”
I’m not saying those two are cause and effect. I’m just
saying simultaneously we had the One-Year Mission and the tourism
opportunity. The tourism opportunity does not and did not interest
me, but the One-Year Mission was part of Team 6. At some point then
Barratt and Barbara Corbin had done the preliminary setup work. Once
again, being the cleanup hitter, I was asked to assume chairmanship
of Team 5.
When the IEWG, this ISS Experts Working Group, the self-appointed
subcommittee of the whole of the Station Program Managers self-assigned
charter expired, our Team 5 was chartered by the Space Station program
managers as the Multilateral Human Research Panel for Exploration.
Each word is significant in there. We go by MHRPE. I tried to get
it MURPHY at first, but the p’s and the h’s were in the
wrong place.
I chair the MHRPE with my Russian co-chair, Valeri [V.] Bogomolov
from IBMP [Institute of Biomedical Problems], and with the representatives
from ESA [European Space Agency], JAXA [Japan Aerospace Exploration
Agency], and Canada [Canadian Space Agency (CSA)]. The first thing
I did as the co-chair of MHRPE was to petition to bring that one-year
mission into the Team 5, into MHRPE, instead of in the Mars simulation
working group, because I could tell, and we all could tell, that that
was going to be a heavily biomedical activity. I didn’t want
a bunch of people that were not interested in biomedical trying to
manage the flagship biomedical mission on the ISS. I thought that
was part and parcel of our assignment. The Station Program Managers
agreed and the One-Year Mission became part of MHRPE’s charter.
It became foremost in MHRPE’s activities. It became the example
of how we would do collaboration in the future, the pioneering example,
because it has the visibility and the time priority.
It was going to happen on a certain calendar date, and we had better
be ready for it, so people couldn’t say, “Nice idea, come
back later.” We’d say, “No, the one-year mission
is launching in 18 months, and we have to have things in place. So,
you program managers and you engineers and you timeliners need to
answer our phone calls and help us work this out, because we don’t
know what we’re doing, and it’s going to happen.”
The one-year mission became, as I said, the prime example of how we’re
going to be doing collaboration in the future. It was primarily between
the U.S. and Russia because it was a bilateral activity, one U.S.
astronaut, one Russian cosmonaut on the Station for a year. Coincidentally
freeing up two seats on that Soyuz mission, in case anybody was interested.
Within the space of a few weeks or even just a couple of months in
late 2012 and early 2013, we came up with a list of investigations
that needed to be done in this one-year mission. Mike Barratt gave
me my marching orders as the chairman of this committee. He said,
“Do what you got to do. Work with everybody, but the deal is
we’re going to compare the six-month database we have with the
one-year database that we’re going to acquire on this one-year
mission. We’re going to do it multilaterally, that is with the
U.S. and Russians. We’d like to have the U.S. and Russians working
together on this to double your n from one to two. If you can get
the other partners involved, so much the better.” In fact the
program managers through their control board called the SSCB, the
Space Station Control Board, essentially charged us with having a
bilateral—that is a two-party—mission – “but
don’t forget the other partners.”
Again these beautifully contradictory instructions. “It’s
all about you and the Russians. But it’s not all about you and
the Russians. Don’t forget there’s other partners involved
as well.”
My recollection is that I had the plan in mind, but I waited to see
who they were going to assign as the crew member. Of course they didn’t
ask us what experiments were going to be done first, then pick a crew
member appropriate to that. They said, “Here’s the guy
that’s going to fly your One-Year Mission. You’ll be doing
your research on him. We sure hope he’s amenable.” Because
astronauts always have the right to withdraw or not to participate
from biomedical investigations. That’s just ethical and legal.
As soon as Scott [J.] Kelly was assigned, I asked our mission planners
within the Human Research Program, “Tell me what he did on his
last six-month mission, because if I’m going to compare six
months and one year with a set of investigations, they ought to be
the same investigations. He’s already done a six-month mission.
Let’s ask him to do the same things or something very much like
them again on the one-year mission.” They gave me the list of
things. His last mission, his six-month mission, included a lot of
investigations that we were not doing anymore. We had reached their
termination point on many of them. All of them, I think.
I call those the zombie experiments. I brought those back from the
dead. The PIs, the investigators, were writing them up to publish
them, and then I came along and say, “Oh, by the way, I would
like to have you stop finishing your work, and continue it for one
more data set, which is going to be one or maybe two more people that
are not going to be the same as what you got before. They’re
going to be a different population. They’re going to fly for
12 months versus 6 months.”
Many of the PIs said, “That will do serious damage to my experimental
design. I’m not interested.”
I said, “Guess what, you are interested, because we’re
funding you, and we still have dibs on this. We can do it ourselves
if you don’t want to do it for us, but I really recommend you
do it for us, because you’ll get the data, you’ll have
access to the one-year mission, you’ll be a hero, and we’re
going to do it anyway.” They saw the wisdom of that approach.
Other investigators were very very happy. In fact most of them were
very happy to be involved, because they see this as the next shiny
thing, and more NASA money is always better than less NASA money.
We’re going to keep their contracts open for a couple more years.
We also had a new set of investigations that seemed to be starting
at about that same time to answer new questions, or the second iteration,
the second version, of the old questions, because, parenthetically,
we’re allowed to get smarter. We finished up one set of investigations.
We understand what they taught us, then we ask the next set of questions.
Lead us to the next set of investigations.
In that population we have such investigations as the Fluid Shifts
Study, which I described previously. We also have the Field Test,
which is a continuation of some early work we’ve been doing
to try to understand how astronauts are able to function immediately
after a six-month spaceflight. We would apply that then to the 12-month
astronauts as well. We came up with a set of investigations of—I
think it was about 17 investigations, old and new, for Scott Kelly.
We asked the Russians did they have any investigations that corresponded
to these, because it’d be lovely to have the same investigation
on the U.S. and the Russian side so they can solve two problems for
two separate space agencies, two separate investigators, using two
crew members simultaneously.
They said, “Well, no, not really, but we have another set of
investigations that we’re trying to do.” So I and my colleagues
tried to find matches between these fairly disparate sets, and found
a few, and came up with some approaches.
One of the approaches we came up with was categorization again. The
categorization would be the set of investigations were either what
I call joint—that is there’s an American and a Russian
co-principal investigator for the same investigation—or there’s
something that I called cross-participation, that we have two investigations,
one U.S., one Russian, that are not the same, but similar. We would
ask the American to do the American investigation and the Russian
investigation. We’d ask the Russian to do the Russian investigation
and the American investigation. We’d ask the principal investigators
to share the data, so they would each get twice as many subjects of
one-year crew members as they would have otherwise.
Then we have another that we call data exchange. There’s an
American investigation. The American astronaut is doing it. There’s
a Russian investigation. The Russian astronaut is doing it. They are
sort of similar, they may have some parameters in common, but we’re
not going to ask the American to do the Russian. We’re not going
to ask the Russian to do the American. We’re just going to ask
the PIs to e-mail or communicate relevant data exchange. So, there’s
joint, cross-participation, and data exchange. There’s only
a couple, two or three, depending on how you parse it, joint, and
half a dozen cross-participation, and then the rest of them are data
exchange.
We also involved ESA, JAXA, and the Canadian Space Agency in this.
Mostly the data exchange process. There are third party investigations
that seem to match one or the other, the U.S. or the Russian ones.
We asked them to be involved, thereby making this a multilateral mission,
at least in name, when in fact it was primarily bilateral.
That is the set of investigations we’re proceeding with now.
The Russian did not agree to do all the American investigations. The
American did agree to do all the Russian investigations. Along the
way over the course of the two and a half years of planning that gave
me many opportunities to be interrogated by the SSCB on how things
were going and why wasn’t I doing better at preparing, one of
the things the Russians in particular kept coming back to is, “Why
aren’t you doing more joint investigations?”
Now to me they were all joint. It was an ambiguous word that I chose.
I did assign this co-principal investigator category, I assigned it
the name of joint. When they said, “Why aren’t you doing
more joint investigations?” they were thinking of those. But,
I was thinking they’re all joint, because they’re all
multilateral. I don’t think the Russian guy is as sophisticated
with my terminology as I am, so I’m guessing what he means is
why aren’t we doing more overall collaboration?
I kept saying, “We are doing a lot of overall collaboration.
We’re doing as much as you guys will allow us to do. How are
you asking me to do more when in fact then I turn around to your people
and they say you’re doing too much?”
They would look at me like I had a hole in my head. “Oh, you
don’t get it at all.” I finally realized that they were
looking for what I call the joint studies, the co-principal investigators,
because that way you solve two problems with one investigation. I
finally realized—it took me, I’m embarrassed to say, a
year and a half or two years to have the epiphany talking to Julie
Robinson and to the people in the Space Station Program. They would
try to explain to me as simply, using fifth grade language, as they
could. I just didn’t get it, but I finally realized that my
cross-participation studies were exactly the worst thing I could be
doing, because that doubled the crew time. The American was doing
the American study and the Russian study, the Russian was doing the
Russian and the American study.
I doubled the crew time, and we don’t have enough crew time
to do the work that we need to do. Why did I think it was a good idea
to double the crew time? So, they were wanting more joint and less
of the cross-participation type, but they never told me that in language
that I could understand.
I get it now and now that is my new dogma. It’s all about joint
investigations. So only too late. We’re stuck with what it is
for the one-year mission. Everybody’s making their best efforts
to do what it is I originally asked them to do. They’re putting
a happy face on. They’re doing as much as they possibly can.
I think so far it’s turning out to be spectacularly successful.
I also told some people—and since this is not going to be published
for a long time—I told people that my criteria for success are
extremely low.
We have these two joint investigations, the Fluid Shifts and the Field
Test. If we get those done I’m going to declare 100 percent
success. All the other stuff is icing on the cake. Since we’re
going to get much of the other stuff done, I’m going to declare
110 percent success. But I didn’t say that until the very end
of the process, and only to a small number of people until this obviously
gets published.
The important thing was exactly what the programs wanted, which was
to have these two major investigations. I think in a previous interview
I discussed the Fluid Shifts Study, and I described it then as the
most complex biomedical investigation that we’ve ever done on
the Station and possibly ever been done in space, with the possible
exception of work that was done on Neurolab or maybe the space and
life sciences Spacelabs. I still think that. It is more complex than
those because it requires resources from the U.S. and the Russian
segment on the Space Station, which is not currently configured to
facilitate that kind of resource exchange. That was one of the assignments
for Team 5, to break down the barriers between the two segments.
People don’t realize that the Space Station is really two Space
Stations joined at the docking node. They both have different management
characteristics and different requirements. Much of those management
characteristics are intended specifically to keep the others out.
What we had to do to use the Russian lower body negative pressure
device called Chibis was to move American monitoring hardware into
the Russian module, essentially take over the Russian habitation module,
and convert it into a cardiovascular laboratory with wires and hardware.
People couldn’t go to their dining table or get to the bathrooms
because we were taking it over, and we had to do that several times
during the course of this one-year mission.
It takes several days to get it configured and deconfigured. You do
it at several-month intervals, not monthly, but several-month intervals,
so that it’s not a constant impediment, but it’s a frequent
impediment. It’s significant when it’s in place.
That is the model that I am still hopeful of seeing on future collaborative
missions. I said that the one-year mission is the pioneering example,
but the rest of my assignment was to do this on all future Space Station
missions, whether they’re one-year missions or not. I’m
using the one-year mission as the pioneer, as the stalking horse,
as the scenario that identifies the problems for future collaborative
investigations. Then just in the last few months when the Space Station
Control Board asked me to give a report, I said, “We’ve
prepared for this one-year mission. It is going well. It is now up
to you program managers to make it possible to do this in the future,
because we are doing a lot of things in the least efficient possible
way on this mission, and you will not allow us to do it this way again.
If you really want joint work as you say you do, then each of you,
Mr. Suffredini, Mr. [Alexei] Krasnov, and all the other program managers,
need to talk to your people about streamlining your processes.”
There was a bit of consternation because each of them thought that
I would cause the other to streamline their processes without actually
causing each of them to streamline their own processes. I said no
dice on that because nobody is innocent in this game. The Russians
refused to acknowledge this problem until literally Christmastime
of 2014 when suddenly it became a major problem on the Russian side:
“how are we going to implement this mission in three months?”
The Americans have known about it for years but didn’t do anything
about it. They just kept laying more processes on us. Now this is
my biased perspective obviously. I said, “Nobody’s innocent
in this and you both have to fix this. The way I recommend doing that
is that you both send your experts off into a room or retreat someplace.
Everybody spell out what their process is to get from experiment arrival
to implementation to orbit. All the steps that need to be implemented,
all the documents that need to be written by people on my staff or
in my group. Tell us ahead of time so we can get those done before
you need that information. Don’t wait until you need the information
and ask us to go write a book. Then you on the Russian side, please
don’t delay until six weeks before a launch, then come to us
with a set of requirements that no two of you agree on.”
The Russians seemed to be making requirements up at the last minute.
They seemed to be saying, “Oh my God, something has to happen.
We don’t routinely do this because we don’t work with
the Americans on life sciences. What do you think we ought to do?”
One group would say, “Well, we need this document.”
Another group would say, “Well, we need such a document.”
Then they’d get together in meetings and they’d say, “Well,
we have this document we need.” The other ones would say, “Well,
so do we, we have a different document. Okay, let’s ask the
Americans to do these documents.” It’s Christmas break
and it’s springtime in 2015 and we’re getting all these
requests for documents.
We say no, and then the Russians say, “Well, we’ll ask
other Russians to do this.” The Russians come to us and say,
“Well, what information should we put in here?”
We say, “I don’t know. It’s your document. We never
saw it before.” Bottom line. The Russians don’t seem to
have an established process for what we’re talking about. The
Americans don’t seem to have an established process, but the
Americans have plenty of processes, and they can figure one out that’s
going to be very cumbersome.
I asked the two program managers to assign their people to come up
with a consolidated plan that’s doable by scientists like us,
science organizations, that will satisfy both of their requirements.
They were a little bit consternated. They were a little bit concerned
because they were not expecting to get homework from me. They were
expecting for me to tell them the answer, not ask them the question.
As we left that SSCB meeting, people on their staffs did have those
assignments. Now sitting here in August of 2015, I’m anxious
to hear back from them about how successful they’ve been. I
don’t know the answer to that. I do know that the planning for
future missions is being impeded because we don’t have these
consolidated processes. I am right now missing deadlines that they
charged me with meeting in part because I don’t have these processes
that I need to do my job.
The other part is I still haven’t figured out how to do other
things that’s not their responsibility. But I’m at least
partially delayed because of their inability to tell me the right
way to do things.
Johnson:
The studies that are being done up there and with Scott Kelly and
then his brother Mark [E. Kelly] being on Earth.
Charles:
The Twins Study.
Johnson:
The Twins Study. I’m just assuming as a nonscientist that Mark
is the control and then the changes will be studied after that. Just
what exactly are you looking for?
Charles:
The story of the Twins Study is interesting because after Scott Kelly
was named as the one-year mission crew member, Julie Robinson and
I were sitting with him in an office over in [Building] 4 South. I
think his brother was there as well. I think Scott and Mark were there.
He was getting ready for his first press conference, and so Julie
and I were walking him through the set of investigations that we envisioned
for him to be doing in the biomedical area. Julie would talk about
the other investigations.
As we essentially stood up to leave, Scott said, “They’re
going to ask me if we’re doing anything about the twins, because
I’ve got a twin brother.” Julie looked at me with a little
bit of a deer in the headlight look.
I said, “No, we’re not. That’s a stunt. We’re
not going to do that.” I was thinking but didn’t say,
“You’ve both been astronauts for several years now. You’ve
been twins for most of that time. We didn’t ask you anything
up until now. Why would we start now in this most difficult of circumstances?”
The hardest thing we’ve ever tried to do. Why would we make
it even harder by doing this?
I went back. I think Barratt was still the Program Manager at that
time. He said, “How’d it go?”
I said, “Well, it went very well. Julie and I walked through
everything, and as we started to leave Scott said, ‘How about
us as twins?’ and I said, ‘No, of course not.’”
Barratt, as I recall said, “Not so fast, John. This is an opportunity
perhaps we shouldn’t be so quick to dismiss.” I don’t
recall exactly what I said, but I’m pretty sure I didn’t
say what I was thinking, which is you got to be kidding me, because
that’s going to be very difficult to do, and it’s going
to be a stunt. I keep using this word “stunt” in politically
indelicate situations. But, we will not learn anything of value from
this, having one astronaut who’s a twin in space and one astronaut
who’s a retired astronaut twin on the ground. What possible
benefit will this have?
Cooler heads prevailed. They convinced me, and I think convincing
me was part of the thought process as well, that we are in the 21st
century and genetic aspects of biology are becoming more refined and
more informative and NASA is doing very little of that. Here’s
almost a special case delivered to us for us to get into the genomics
business, and these guys are interested and willing. I don’t
know if I went back to Scott or maybe Barratt did because they’re
friends and essentially said, “You know how I told you we didn’t
want to do anything with the twins? Well, we do want to do something
with the twins.”
Scott and Mark said, “Great, okay, let’s talk about that.”
So we came up with a plan. I think it’s not nice to say I was
opposed to it all along, but I was trying to be dispassionate about
it. Having gone through the setup process for the set of investigations
for the one-year mission, I did not want to see that derailed for
what I kept calling a stunt until somebody finally told me to quit
saying that.
I was the lead scientist for that as the lead scientist for the one-year
mission until we were able to assign Craig [E.] Kundrot from our staff
as the project scientist for the Twins Study and Graham [B.] Scott
from NSBRI as the deputy project scientist. They did an excellent
job of coming up with a set of investigations which are going to be
informative and illuminating and also not disrupt the one-year mission
set of investigations.
I helped write the solicitation. We actually went out and solicited,
with a very quick turnaround, extramural scientists to help us do
genomic studies on these twins. I made sure that the solicitation
that we drafted, that got sent out, essentially said, “What
can you do with no crew time, no samples, and no funding?” That
was moderated a little bit so there’s a small amount of sample
and a small amount of crew time, mostly incorporated in the ongoing
one-year work, blood draws and other tests that were being done on
Scott that could be done then on Mark.
The funding was not exactly zero. There was a small amount of funding
but it’s not enough to pay for the expenses of the scientists.
We had 40 responses from world-class scientists who saw this—and
I finally realized at that point that I was the one that was out of
sync because this is the 21st century. This is the new wave of investigations.
Thank goodness my management didn’t listen to me, and they persisted
with this approach, because I think we had 40 responses, of which
we selected 10 to cover the entire omics spectrum, from the gene all
the way up to the whole organism, the whole astronaut, including the
psychological aspects.
Craig and Graham melded those 10 investigators into a single team.
I won’t say seamless but very darn well integrated. They are
making progress in understanding the effects of this one example of
spaceflight on these two individuals. Not because they think they
will gain renown or insights that will solve problems, but because
it’s the first of what we think will be a future of omics-based
research perhaps even displacing the kind of things that I’m
more familiar with, the older physiological and biomedical models.
This might be the way to get the answers to the questions we need
in the 21st century within the constraints that we’re being
faced with, like the crew time that I mentioned before. If we can
get data from blood draws and genetic analysis of body fluid samples,
that tells us most of what we need to know about bones and muscles
and cardiovascular systems, then we don’t have to do lower body
negative pressures and postflight activities once we get these calibrated.
Right now my hope is that that does turn out to be the model, that
from the genetic-based analysis we will be able to understand much
of what we need to know, and at least focus our other efforts more
specifically on things that we can acquire through that pathway and
the guarantee of a great deal of additional insight into the integrated
organism, that is the astronauts, from the genetic aspects that we
couldn’t acquire by any other technique.
Again like the one-year mission, this is another trial, another pioneering
opportunity. Our 10 investigators have thrown in wholeheartedly because
they want to be part of the new wave. They want to be part of the
first effort by NASA to do this. They’re not getting a lot of
funding. They’re spending some of their other grant money on
NASA work, and we don’t mind that they do that. They’re
also going to have credit and credibility when it comes to defining
how things get done in the future. They’ll also be able to claim
credit for having been there at the very beginning of what I think
is the new approach to doing life sciences research.
Since Craig has moved off to Headquarters for a new job, I am now
the project scientist again for the twins study. Having diligently
ignored it for the last year and a half or two, I’m now learning
about it again. I’m very impressed at how well it’s organized
and how productive it is and it will be, despite my efforts to put
the kybosh on it at the beginning.
Johnson:
I wasn’t sure when Scott was chosen, if he was chosen because
he was a twin, or—it’s interesting that that came almost
as an afterthought.
Charles:
It’s incidental. In fact Scott was chosen after six or so other
astronauts were chosen and then unchosen. The Astronaut Office, I
am told—I was not part of the discussion, but I am told—went
through a large number of individuals. We would periodically hear
this name or that name as, “Okay, here’s your one-year
crew member.”
I started asking around, “What experiments did that person do
before? How can I make comparisons?”
Then we’d hear, “No, that’s not the person after
all, something came up in the medical record. We’re still looking.
Stand by.” That’s why Scott came in fairly late in the
process, because we had been expecting to have somebody assigned in
the summer of ’12. He was assigned in November of ’12.
There were several months of false starts before the crew member was
assigned.
There’s a small number of astronauts that are eligible for the
one-year missions if we have more, because of their medical character.
Radiation exposure for example. The longer you go between flights,
the better your radiation picture is. But, the shorter you go between
flights, the less new training you have to do, because theoretically
you’re still qualified from your previous flight for a lot of
stuff. Then there’s a staleness factor. If you wait too long,
then you got to repeat more training. Imagine there’s two curves
that cross, and there’s a sweet spot where biomedically or medically
you’re getting more qualified in terms of radiation exposure,
but trainingwise you’re getting less qualified because you’re
forgetting things you learned before your last mission.
There was some characteristics of several individuals. I don’t
know who made the final decision. It was obviously the Astronaut Office
with all their managers, and the flight surgeons with all their managers,
and program management at Headquarters with all of their involvement
had to go through the set of names, and then wait to see if anybody
else objected. There was apparently several protests that came along
from one source or another after so-and-so was tentatively identified.
Somebody would say, “Well, that person isn’t good with
the robot arm, or that person’s radiation dose is still higher
than we like,” or something like that.
Scott was not chosen because he was a twin. Scott was chosen because
he was the last man standing essentially. Just lucky for us in the
21st century medical approach to things, he has a twin. We can take
advantage of it.
Johnson:
You’ve got to take advantage of it while you have it. It’ll
be interesting to come back in a year from now and talk to you again
about the mission and everything that you’ve learned from it
at that point, or beginning to learn. I know a lot of this isn’t
going to be for a while, especially with that.
Charles:
I mentioned more one-year missions because I will tell you also that
after I kept using the word stunt so much for both twins and the one-year
mission, the Human Research Program management, Bill Paloski by this
time, didn’t really agree with me that the single iteration
was a stunt. But, as a scientist he realized that this n problem—if
you have one or two one-year crew members, you really are not answering
anything definitively about the population. You can’t generalize
to a large population. So, the position that we came up with was that
we would endorse this one-year mission if there was a plan for more
one-year missions, so we had a reasonable expectation of getting a
sample size of 6 or 12 one-year crew members that we could then compare
with our six-month database. The Space Station Program concurred.
The Russians never actually concurred or didn’t, but we thought
we had a deal. That’s what swayed me. It’s not a stunt
if you have multiple flights.
Now here we are in 2015 and we’re saying, “It’s
time to start planning the next one-year mission.” The Station
Program, the American program, says, “Well, okay, let’s
talk to the Russians.”
The Russians say, “We never agreed to that.” The Russians
are saying things like, “Well, let’s wait and see how
this one goes.” According to our plan, the next one was going
to be getting prepped now. We don’t wait until this one is finished,
which is another six months from now, before we start planning for
the next one, because it takes several years to plan. We want to solicit
investigations from the scientific community, fresh new investigations
to do on future missions. That takes a certain amount of time before
we can even start training the astronauts in what they’re going
to be doing in flight and building the hardware. There’s a lead
time in there. We were expecting that clock to start last month, July
of ’15. But now we’re waiting until at least March of
’16. I’m sure there’ll be time after that before
everybody says, “We’re ready to consider this again.”
It’s looking more like a stunt again because it may just be
a onesy.
Johnson:
That’s what I was wondering. If you go from one-year mission
to 18-month mission to two. Is there a thought of building it up to
that three years so that you know you have that to go before you go
to Mars?
Charles:
There is no requirement to have a three-year mission before a three-year
Mars mission that I’m aware of. That is the advice. What you
described is the program that the [Thomas P.] Stafford Commission
keeps recommending. They kept saying, “Why are you not doing
any longer missions? Why are you doing all these six-month missions?”
I would argue that the six-month missions were teaching us much, but
not all, of what we needed to know for longer missions. Again because
the early adaptation of the physiology and the fact that it reaches
an adapted state or an acclimatized state within a few weeks or a
few months means that as far as this or that organ system is concerned
whether you’re in space for two and a half years or one year
or six months you’re qualitatively the same. If we can get a
countermeasure, a treatment that works for you after six months, I
would feel pretty good about that after two and a half years.
Not all systems. Obviously radiation, obviously the psychological/psychosocial
aspects, those require longer exposure, but we have ways of doing
that. We do those on the ground. Radiation in beam facilities on the
ground. The psychological ones in isolation facilities on the ground.
I still say in my public presentations that I would not have been
reluctant to certify for a Mars mission based on a good database of
six-month missions, because I think we understand much, not all, but
much, of what we need to understand.
But, if you’re Tom Stafford and you’re a military test
pilot and you’re an engineer, you don’t buy that argument.
You’d rather see one one-year mission, one one-and-a-half-year
mission, one two-year mission, one two-and-a-half-year mission. When
I say, “You can’t do that because of statistics,”
he’d say, “Why do you care about statistics? If they survive
then it was okay. If they don’t survive, well, then we figure
that out later, because that’s how we did Gemini.” Which
is true.
Then I would say things like, “This is not Gemini and you can’t
expect scientists to sign off on that. That’s not ethical or
realistic.”
So far we’ve been winning, with the six-month population. Overall
we win, because we may not get any more one-year missions. Stafford
is still unhappy with the fact that we’re not doing longer missions.
In fact sometimes the Russians now say, “Well, let’s do
a different kind of one-year mission.”
I keep saying, “No. Let’s do more of the same because
we don’t know anything yet about one-year missions.” There’s
a sense that I get that some of these senior managers are more looking
for the next interesting thing than they are the next statistically
valid thing. If you’ve done a one-year mission, let’s
do a one-and-a-half-year mission. “No. We’re not there
yet.”
“Let’s do a mission where maybe they land halfway, then
launch again, to simulate going to Mars—landing on Mars and
getting back into space.”
I say, “Oh my goodness. That’s going to complicate things
incredibly.”
They say, “Well, let’s just think about that.”
The idea of agreeing to future one-year missions is contingent on
these other things. This time next year if we chat, maybe I’ll
have more information on the planning, the thought processes, and
my gradual acceptance of these ideas.
Johnson:
Not calling them stunts anymore?
Charles:
No. I got to quit saying that. I did that. Rice University [Houston]
has this International Space Medicine Summit every spring. George
[W.S.] Abbey is one of the organizers of it. Bobby [R.] Alford from
Baylor College of Medicine is a co-organizer. They had a breakout
session. Gerstenmaier was chairing it. He asked the question in one
of the breakout sessions, “How about this mission scenario where
we have six months, then we land for a few weeks, and we launch again
and pretend we’re coming back from Mars?”
I said, “No. That’s a stunt.” Of course I’m
essentially criticizing the idea of the AA [Associate Administrator]
for Spaceflight in front of lots and lots of very well renowned experts.
He said, “Okay, well, we’ve got to work with John on his
ability to express his thoughts without calling his boss’s boss’s
boss’s ideas a stunt. We understand there’s a little bit
of refinement required.”
I do tell people though that I’ve reached the point in my career
where I am within a few years of retiring. Who knows? If they decide
that perhaps I should retire sooner than that, it wouldn’t be
all that bad a thing. My restraint might be a little bit less than
they would like.
Johnson:
Looking back over everything, is there anything you can think of that
we haven’t talked about?
Charles:
Oh my gosh, I hope not, because we’ve talked on topics that
I hadn’t really expected to talk on. I think we’ve done
good so far. If we think of more we can always reconvene.
Johnson:
Yes, we can. If there’s anything you can think of, just let
me know. But I appreciate you coming in again.
Charles:
Another topic, in case we want to do it in the future, is about history,
space history. I’m a big space history aficionado. One of the
reasons I like it here and want to put off retirement is because I
can feel the waves of history at JSC. I can walk on paths and know
that [Robert R.] Gilruth walked those same paths when he was contemplating
Apollo. There’s lots of archives. Avocationally I’m a
space historian. I talked to Rebecca [Wright] about Building 37, which
is just a slight manifestation of that. But, maybe sometime in the
future when workloads permit we can talk about space history too.
Johnson:
That would be great. Thanks.
[End
of interview]